Is it true that the poorest people in 2100 will live like they do in Switzerland?
No, that is not the case. The assertion that the poorest people in 2100 will live like those in today's Switzerland is an unwarranted simplification and is not confirmed by the models usually cited. What the models actually show The mentioned forecast comes from the Earth4All project's scenario of \"Giant Leap\". However, its results are incorrectly interpreted. The \"Giant Leap\" scenario is not a forecast but a \"what if.\" It is not a prediction of the future but a modeling of what potentially could happen if humanity undertakes five extreme reversals (eradication of poverty, reduction of inequality, expansion of women's rights, transformation of food and energy systems) immediately and simultaneously. It is about average incomes, not living like in Switzerland. The model shows that in this scenario, the average income per capita in the poorest regions could significantly increase. For example, for sub-Saharan Africa, the forecast is that disposable income of workers and GDP per capita will double compared to the \"Too Little, Too Late\" scenario. However, this does not mean reaching the level of Switzerland, but only a significant improvement over the current situation. The default reality is \"Too Little, Too Late.\" If current trends continue, according to the models, poverty in sub-Saharan Africa will increase from 500 million to 900 million people by 2100. In this scenario, there is no mention of a Switzerland level. Scenario comparison Parameter \"Giant Leap\" Scenario \"Too Little, Too Late\" Scenario Conditions Five extreme reversals implemented immediately Current trends continue Poverty in sub-Saharan Africa Significant reduction Growth from 500 million to 900 million people Income per capita Doubling in the poorest regions Stagnation or decline Standard of living Significant imp ... Read more
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Is it true that the poorest people in 2100 will live like they do in Switzerland?
 

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